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    Bonds and barriers: Why Russia and India ties need more “Atmanirbhar”

    Exchanges between Moscow and New Delhi have increased across various levels. Russian government agencies and trade chambers have sent delegations to India, and there is a surge in business missions. Russia expects larger Indian exports in various sectors, and India is interested in Russian businesses in infrastructure and energy.

    Over the past year, exchanges between Moscow and New Delhi have significantly increased across various levels – from G2G to B2B, corporate, cultural, education, and even spiritual. This has injected new life into the longstanding but somewhat stagnant ties that are crucial to both countries.

    In 2023, various agencies of the Russian government, trade chambers, and associates have been actively sending delegations to New Delhi, Mumbai, Bangalore, and other parts of India. They have also hosted numerous Indian delegations in Russia. Officials note an unprecedented surge in the number of business and regional missions exploring new opportunities. Russia is optimistic about larger Indian exports in sectors like engineering, machinery, automobiles, pharma, textiles, and food, while India is witnessing great interest from Russian businesses in infrastructure, energy sectors, IT, and financial markets.

    Russia-India trade turnover has crossed the $50 billion mark for the first time, compared to an average of $10-13 billion recorded in the past five years before the dynamics changed in 2022. Energy plays a key role in this surge, with India's primary crude source now overtaking Iraq and Saudi Arabia. Since April 2022, India's Russian oil imports have soared over 10-fold.

    However, both countries are looking to make bilateral trade more diversified and sustainable.

    Russia and India are time-tested partners, but new realities are testing the existing bond. The economic aspect of bilateral ties, even after a fivefold increase, is relatively small, considering India’s aspirations in defense, energy, and other sectors.

    Take the Arctic, for example. The region holds the world's largest remaining untapped gas reserves and some of its largest undeveloped oil reserves. India's increasing interest in the Arctic region reflects a strategic response aligned with its evolving geopolitical and economic priorities, and Russia, as India’s strategic partner, is ready to share insights for operating in the Arctic.

    The two countries possess enormous talent and domestically developed technologies but have often relied on the West to produce the end product. The “Atmanirbhar” drive, which is now evident in both countries at many levels, from policy-making to consumer behavior trends, could strengthen the “friendly bond,” of which we are so often reminded by high-profile dignitaries representing the two nations.

    The problem is that the new generation of Indian diplomats, bureaucrats, businessmen, and even journalists lack the same “soft spot” for “Russian story books” as previous generations. As the new “point of affection” was never created, there is nothing “sentimental” about Russia-India relations for those professionals who actually drive the strategic policy-making, be it at government or corporate level.

    That is the reason why awareness becomes the key factor shaping up Russia-India relations in the coming years. Seven decades of intense and open-hearted friendship have shaped the ties in such a way that "old memories" have dominated the "present realities," much like in a lasting marriage.

    To ensure a vibrant union at 75, there needs to be some spice – or, more radically, a “new blood.” This could involve exploring new trade segments, fostering larger interactions between new generations – from school kids to students to mid-age entrepreneurs. The latter, on both sides, are more likely to be influenced by stereotypes or distant knowledge acquired from their parents about the Indo-Soviet relationship. Sad, but true - the generation of entrepreneurs leading the most valuable companies in Russia and India have very limited understanding of these two countries – most often shaped by the Western media.

    For Russian business leaders, until very recently, India remained a land of tea, textiles and generic medicines, while Indian businesses often do not consider Russia to be an interesting market beyond weaponry, crude and fertilizers. In the past two years, an image of Russia as a “war-torn country” has been added to this picture, many in the Indian corporate sector told me privately. None of them have traveled to Russia lately.

    But those who have, were genuinely surprised.

    Moscow authorities noted in November last year that despite consistent tightening of sanctions from unfriendly countries, Moscow's economy, like that of the whole country, has adapted to “new realities” and returned to sustainable economic development. Positive dynamics in Moscow's budget revenues are noted in almost all sectors of the economy, including almost 19% growth in manufacturing, over 12% in transportation, almost 26% in construction, and over 20% in the IT sector. The vibrancy is palpable in Moscow cafes and malls. In 2023 alone, Moscow added 14 new underground metro stations and a new rapid train system line consisting of 74 stations.

    The vibe may not be felt across the entire country, given its size, complex climate, geographical intricacies, and the ongoing military conflict. However, the Far East regions are witnessing unprecedented development of infrastructure, allowing them to export more minerals to Asian markets. New hotels and resorts are emerging around Lake Baikal. After being “isolated” from (or rather by) the West, Russia is rediscovering its richness and untapped potential. India could be a part of that discovery, tapping markets previously dominated by Western companies – from commercial development to automotive, consumer retail, and consulting.

    Awareness about India’s growth among Russians has increased tremendously in the past two years, thanks to the media attention India is finally receiving in Russia. An average Russian news consumer now knows about India's strive to become the world’s third-largest economy, its space programs, startup ecosystem, and indigenously developed defense systems. Russians are slowly disassociating themselves from the past reality of the “Indian elephant on a tea box.”

    Notably, the only attention Russia receives in Indian media is related to the Ukraine conflict, with most reporting on Russia reproduced by Indian media from Western global news agencies. It is time that this aspect of bilateral relationship, too, witnesses the power of “Atmanirbhar.”

    By Ksenia Kondratieva, Editor, RT India

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  • Russia and India: Towards New Horizons

    Speaking at the October 2023 session of the Valdai International Discussion Club, Russian President Vladimir Putin declared the successful overcoming of all challenges arising from Western sanctions. While 2022 marked Russia's adaptation to new conditions, 2023 witnessed a confident recovery. According to forecasts, the growth of the Russian GDP by the end of 2023 may exceed 4%. Despite facing an unprecedented number of imposed restrictions, reaching almost 18,000, Russia has emerged as the largest economy in Europe by GDP at purchasing power parity, surpassing Germany, and the fifth-largest economy globally, maintaining this position for the third consecutive year.

    For India, 2023 was hailed as a "year of special achievements" by Prime Minister Narendra Modi. In August, the country became the fourth "lunar power" in history, successfully landing the spacecraft of the Chandrayaan-3 mission on the Moon's surface and achieving the first-ever landing on the South Pole of Earth's satellite. India continues to be the world's fastest-growing major economy, with an expected GDP growth of around 7.3% in the 2023/2024 fiscal year. Speaking from the Red Fort on the occasion of India's 76th Independence Day, Prime Minister Modi promised that the country would become the third-largest economy in the world within five years.

    Both Russia and India will hold elections in 2024, with leaders in both countries having significant chances of success. According to the All-Russian Centre for the Study of Public Opinion (VTsIOM), 79.8% of citizens trust Putin. Expert assessments and public opinion polls indicate significant chances of the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party winning the upcoming general elections, paving the way for another term for Narendra Modi, who has been leading the country for a decade.

    The past year has been exceptionally successful for Russo-Indian relations. The economic aspect, traditionally considered a weak link in bilateral ties, has significantly strengthened. Russia, for the first time in history, secured the third position among India's trading partners, after China and the United States. The trade turnover reached a record $54.7 billion in the first 10 months, and by the end of 2023, it is expected to surpass $60 billion—a figure that recently seemed unattainable.

    Due to Western sanctions on Russian oil and substantial discounts offered to New Delhi, Russia became India's top oil exporter, accounting for 40% of the country's total import volume. The republic aims to expand investments in the Russian oil and gas sector. New prospects are emerging in the nuclear industry, particularly in the construction of small nuclear power plants, as well as in the fields of pharmaceuticals, agriculture, the diamond industry, and fertiliser supplies. Talks on a free trade zone between the Eurasian Economic Union and India are set to begin at the end of January this year. Moscow and New Delhi are also working on an agreement for visa-free tourist trips.

    However, bilateral relations still face several challenges. Addressing the trade imbalance, refining the commodity structure of trade turnover, and developing financial infrastructure are essential tasks. Significant efforts are required for the operationalisation of the North-South transport corridor and the launch of the Chennai-Vladivostok maritime corridor.

    The final highlight of the rich bilateral dialogue in 2023 was the five-day visit to Russia by Indian Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar in late December. The Indian minister visited both capitals—Moscow and St. Petersburg—held talks with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, participated in a session of the joint intergovernmental commission on trade, economic, scientific-technical, and cultural cooperation alongside Russian Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Industry and Trade Denis Manturov, and met with Russian Indologists and the Indian diaspora. The Indian Foreign Minister was also received by Vladimir Putin in the Kremlin. Important agreements were reached during this visit, particularly regarding two new blocks of the Kudankulam Nuclear Power Plant.

    In 2023, it was not possible to organise a bilateral Russo-Indian summit, but both sides are confident that the summit will finally take place this year. Modi has already received an invitation to visit Russia. The possibility of holding comprehensive negotiations may arise on the sidelines of the BRICS summit scheduled for October in Kazan.

    Addressing the Global Technology Summit in New Delhi ahead of his visit to Russia, Subrahmanyam Jaishankar gave exceptionally high praise to the relations with Russia, emphasising that these ties have often "saved" India. Vladimir Putin, in turn, spoke highly of India and its leadership. Speaking at the "Russia Calling!" forum, the Russian head of state referred to Narendra Modi's policies as a guarantee for the progressive development of Russo-Indian relations and admired the Indian Prime Minister's firm stance in defending national interests. "I cannot imagine Modi being scared, intimidated, or compelled to take actions and decisions contrary to the national interests of India and the Indian people," declared the Russian leader.

    In recent times, Russia is rediscovering India, with growing interest in Indian culture and language studies. New centers for Indology are emerging, Russian media bureaus are opening in India, and existing ones are expanding. There is an increasing demand in the labor market for specialists with knowledge of Hindi, the Indian economy, law, business fundamentals, and regional analytics. A similar "Discovery of Russia" is expected to occur in India soon, thereby putting the perception of each other as secondary partners firmly in the past.

    Leyla Turayanova, Expert, The Institute of World Economy and International Relations (IMEMO), Russia

  • Bonds and barriers: Why Russia and India ties need more “Atmanirbhar”

    Exchanges between Moscow and New Delhi have increased across various levels. Russian government agencies and trade chambers have sent delegations to India, and there is a surge in business missions. Russia expects larger Indian exports in various sectors, and India is interested in Russian businesses in infrastructure and energy.

    Over the past year, exchanges between Moscow and New Delhi have significantly increased across various levels – from G2G to B2B, corporate, cultural, education, and even spiritual. This has injected new life into the longstanding but somewhat stagnant ties that are crucial to both countries.

    In 2023, various agencies of the Russian government, trade chambers, and associates have been actively sending delegations to New Delhi, Mumbai, Bangalore, and other parts of India. They have also hosted numerous Indian delegations in Russia. Officials note an unprecedented surge in the number of business and regional missions exploring new opportunities. Russia is optimistic about larger Indian exports in sectors like engineering, machinery, automobiles, pharma, textiles, and food, while India is witnessing great interest from Russian businesses in infrastructure, energy sectors, IT, and financial markets.

    Russia-India trade turnover has crossed the $50 billion mark for the first time, compared to an average of $10-13 billion recorded in the past five years before the dynamics changed in 2022. Energy plays a key role in this surge, with India's primary crude source now overtaking Iraq and Saudi Arabia. Since April 2022, India's Russian oil imports have soared over 10-fold.

    However, both countries are looking to make bilateral trade more diversified and sustainable.

    Russia and India are time-tested partners, but new realities are testing the existing bond. The economic aspect of bilateral ties, even after a fivefold increase, is relatively small, considering India’s aspirations in defense, energy, and other sectors.

    Take the Arctic, for example. The region holds the world's largest remaining untapped gas reserves and some of its largest undeveloped oil reserves. India's increasing interest in the Arctic region reflects a strategic response aligned with its evolving geopolitical and economic priorities, and Russia, as India’s strategic partner, is ready to share insights for operating in the Arctic.

    The two countries possess enormous talent and domestically developed technologies but have often relied on the West to produce the end product. The “Atmanirbhar” drive, which is now evident in both countries at many levels, from policy-making to consumer behavior trends, could strengthen the “friendly bond,” of which we are so often reminded by high-profile dignitaries representing the two nations.

    The problem is that the new generation of Indian diplomats, bureaucrats, businessmen, and even journalists lack the same “soft spot” for “Russian story books” as previous generations. As the new “point of affection” was never created, there is nothing “sentimental” about Russia-India relations for those professionals who actually drive the strategic policy-making, be it at government or corporate level.

    That is the reason why awareness becomes the key factor shaping up Russia-India relations in the coming years. Seven decades of intense and open-hearted friendship have shaped the ties in such a way that "old memories" have dominated the "present realities," much like in a lasting marriage.

    To ensure a vibrant union at 75, there needs to be some spice – or, more radically, a “new blood.” This could involve exploring new trade segments, fostering larger interactions between new generations – from school kids to students to mid-age entrepreneurs. The latter, on both sides, are more likely to be influenced by stereotypes or distant knowledge acquired from their parents about the Indo-Soviet relationship. Sad, but true - the generation of entrepreneurs leading the most valuable companies in Russia and India have very limited understanding of these two countries – most often shaped by the Western media.

    For Russian business leaders, until very recently, India remained a land of tea, textiles and generic medicines, while Indian businesses often do not consider Russia to be an interesting market beyond weaponry, crude and fertilizers. In the past two years, an image of Russia as a “war-torn country” has been added to this picture, many in the Indian corporate sector told me privately. None of them have traveled to Russia lately.

    But those who have, were genuinely surprised.

    Moscow authorities noted in November last year that despite consistent tightening of sanctions from unfriendly countries, Moscow's economy, like that of the whole country, has adapted to “new realities” and returned to sustainable economic development. Positive dynamics in Moscow's budget revenues are noted in almost all sectors of the economy, including almost 19% growth in manufacturing, over 12% in transportation, almost 26% in construction, and over 20% in the IT sector. The vibrancy is palpable in Moscow cafes and malls. In 2023 alone, Moscow added 14 new underground metro stations and a new rapid train system line consisting of 74 stations.

    The vibe may not be felt across the entire country, given its size, complex climate, geographical intricacies, and the ongoing military conflict. However, the Far East regions are witnessing unprecedented development of infrastructure, allowing them to export more minerals to Asian markets. New hotels and resorts are emerging around Lake Baikal. After being “isolated” from (or rather by) the West, Russia is rediscovering its richness and untapped potential. India could be a part of that discovery, tapping markets previously dominated by Western companies – from commercial development to automotive, consumer retail, and consulting.

    Awareness about India’s growth among Russians has increased tremendously in the past two years, thanks to the media attention India is finally receiving in Russia. An average Russian news consumer now knows about India's strive to become the world’s third-largest economy, its space programs, startup ecosystem, and indigenously developed defense systems. Russians are slowly disassociating themselves from the past reality of the “Indian elephant on a tea box.”

    Notably, the only attention Russia receives in Indian media is related to the Ukraine conflict, with most reporting on Russia reproduced by Indian media from Western global news agencies. It is time that this aspect of bilateral relationship, too, witnesses the power of “Atmanirbhar.”

    By Ksenia Kondratieva, Editor, RT India

  • Empowering Minds, Inspiring Futures: HSE University

    For years, Russia has been a popular choice for Indian students seeking quality education. Renowned for its exceptional universities in fields like medicine, engineering, and science, Russia offers a blend of academic excellence and cultural immersion. In this article, we'll take a closer look at HSE universities and uncover the experiences of Indian students studying there.

    HSE University is a leader in Russian education and one of the preeminent economics and social sciences universities in Eastern Europe and Eurasia. Having rapidly grown into a well-renowned research university over two decades, HSE University sets itself apart with its international presence and cooperation.

    Now a dynamic university with four campuses in Moscow, Saint Petersburg, Nizhny Novgorod, and Perm, HSE University is a leader in combining Russian education traditions with the best international teaching and research practices. HSE University offers outstanding educational programmes from secondary school to doctoral studies, with top departments and research centres in a number of fields. They are ranked among the top 100 institutions worldwide in politics & international studies, sociology, history, economics and econometrics in the QS – World University Rankings by Subject.

    Since 2013, HSE University has been a member of the 5-100 Russian Academic Excellence Project, a highly selective government programme aimed at boosting the international competitiveness of Russian universities.

    HSE cooperates with over 400 universities worldwide through bilateral and multilateral projects, the European Commission and other schemes, as well as international associations and network memberships. Today there are about 5000 foreign students from all over the world including India are studying at HSE University.

    There are several scholarships accessible for both international and local students at HSE. For Master’s Programs, there are seven scholarships tailored for international students, covering tuition fees from 25% to 70%. These scholarships, based on merit, are open to prospective students enrolling in any of HSE’s campuses, offering diverse opportunities for financial support.

    Additionally, students can gain entry to HSE through a Rossotrudnichestvo grant or by participating in HSE Olympiads, such as the International Youth Olympiad and Higher Probation Olympiad. The 25% scholarship/grant is also an option for graduates of the preparatory department for foreign citizens of HSE, as well as graduates of preparatory departments from other Russian universities and graduates from other universities who have completed at least one semester at HSE as part of their Bachelor's or Master's program. Furthermore, a 10% scholarship/grant awaits graduates of the Summer University program.

    Several programs at HSE University are accredited by EFMD Accredited (EQUIS), the European Foundation for Management Development. HSE’s educational programs are also state accredited by the Russian Federal Education and Science Supervision Agency.

    These accreditations ensure that HSEs undergo rigorous examination and ensure the quality of education is of a high standard as well as consistently updating the education to adapt to the ever-changing, robust world we live in today.

    HSE University offers 45 English-taught master’s programs. The Master of Data Science program, along with four other master’s programs, is delivered online in partnership with Coursera. Several of the programs offer double degree tracks, implemented with leading global universities.

    The fields of study at HSE University range from Applied Mathematics to Advertising to Psychology. The institution’s programs cover essential areas of interest within contemporary society and the global workforce. Short-term study opportunities include Russian language courses, an International Preparatory Year, and a semester in Moscow, Nizhny Novgorod, or St Petersburg.

    Find out what Indians studying/teaching in this university have to say about it.

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  • India- Russia relations: The importance of a Resilient Friendship

    Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s telephone conversation with President Vladimir Putin, on 15 January 2024 sent the important signal that communication between the two leaders is as robust as ever, setting the tone for pursuing the key priorities in our strategic partnership and the bilateral summit that is planned for this year.

    The year 2023 ended with the successful five-day visit of External Affairs Minister Dr S. Jaishankar to Moscow and St Petersburg, the highlight of which was the call by EAM on President Putin. A message from Prime Minister Modi was handed over to the Russian President. Against the background of a crisis-ridden international situation, with the Russia-Ukraine conflict in its second year and raging conflicts in the Middle East, it was important for both sides to exchange notes and to coordinate positions. Russia was appreciative that under India’s Presidency the G20 summit adopted a statement that took into Russian sensitivities. The document included PM Modi’s reference made earlier at the Samarkand meeting with President Putin, that this was not an era of war.

    Bilateral trade has increased to record levels. Though estimates put it above 50 billion USD, considering trade through third countries it is reported the figure may be higher than 60 billion USD. This is mostly due of the rise in Indian imports of Russian crude, making Russia the top energy supplier to India. While the trend is upward, it is may also be temporary as it is dependent on discounted prices driven by Russia’s current geopolitical circumstances. Both sides can give a more permanent shape to these energy links in the spirit of long-term partnerships- but projects of such scale will require a commitment to insulate such projects from the uncertainties of geopolitics. It will also be test of whether India and Russia can withstand international pressures when bilateral cooperation projects of such critical importance are involved.

    This also applies to the inventory management of Russian origin defence spares and supplies with our armed forces. For Russia it is a test of its commitment to engage in Make-in-India defence projects for the Indian market and for third country exports. Both countries need to look at nuclear cooperation beyond the Kudankulam NPPs by establishing joint ventures in small modular nuclear reactor (SMR) technology – Russia currently is only country which has an operational SMR. Russia has partnered with India in training astronauts for our Gaganyan programme.

    Western sanctions on Russia created huge challenges but the expected collapse of its economy did not materialize. This created opportunities for countries capable and interested in occupying the market space in Russia vacated by western firms. Companies from China, Turkey, Central Asia, and the Gulf have moved in. Indian companies have tended to be cautious even in areas of economic activities outside the scope of western sanctions. This is partly due to lack of information but also due to persistent hurdles, despite remedial efforts by the Indian and Russian Governments, of inadequate bilateral banking channels. Physical connectivity is also problematic – no Indian carrier flies now to Moscow and trade and transit routes remain expensive and time-consuming.

    Recent disruptions in maritime shipping through the Red Sea have once again underlined the importance of pushing the INSTC through Iran and Chennai Vladivostok EMC to their full potential. Russia is now a major long-term supplier of fertilizers and coking coal. Indian manpower exports can contribute to the Russian economy which now faces a critical demographic shortage. Russia can benefit from investing in India which is now poised to be for the next decade amongst the fastest growing economies globally. For Russia, there is no other country like India which is both friendly and which offers a secure and profitable investment destination.

    This is clearly an era of prolonged global instability. Hence the standard of ‘reasonable risk’ of doing international business and trade cannot be the same as that during the golden age of globalization. This is a test case for Indian companies as it is for their Russian partners. Implicit in multipolarity is the message that doing business like in a unipolar world is a self-imposed limitation that is not sustainable in the long term.

    To benefit from the strong legacy of friendly relations with Russia, there is need to think anew and act anew. Old mind sets and current hesitations will not work. Future resilience in our relations can be assured through forward-looking projects of mutual benefit. India and Russia have unique strengths- strong strategic convergences and a time-tested friendship backed by a strong public sentiment. But every era poses its own set of challenges which cannot be addressed through past sentiment alone. There is a need for new ideas and new drivers, taken forward not just by governments but the broader business community, technology experts and entrepreneurs - not cowed down by geopolitical change but instead having the appetite and the mind set to shape and profit from it.

    DB Venkatesh Varma, (former Ambassador of India to the Russian Federation 2018-21)

  • Will India manage to make a major trade mark in Russia?

    Indian exports to Russia declined 14% to $2.2 billion in April to December 2022, primarily due to logistical problems created by payment disruptions. The trade imbalance between the two countries would further delay efforts to switch contracts to local currencies.

    Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Russian President Vladimir Putin share cordial relations and converse regularly, most recently a week ago, all the while trying to infuse a momentum into their bilateral relations, particularly the trade partnership.

    Their commitment to the special and privileged strategic partnership between the two nations saw them “chalk out a roadmap for future initiatives,” Mr Modi said which, India’s foreign ministry elaborated, includes expanding military and technical cooperation, including modern weaponry manufacturing, discussed when Indian Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar met his Russian counterpart Sergei Lavrov in Moscow last month.

    While both New Delhi and Moscow appear eager to provide economic heft to their partnership beyond these traditional areas, the path to enhanced commerce is not proceeding as smoothly as both establishments would like. This is despite the spurt in the bilateral volume of trade since Russia’s conflict with Ukraine began two years ago, leaving Russia facing massive sanctions and cut off from its main energy market in Europe.

    Russia became India's fourth largest source of imports in 2022, driven by the energy trade boom, as a near insatiable India absorbed energy exports redirected from Europe, going on to import 17% of its crude oil and 9% of its coal from Russia, at hefty discounts. India’s fertilizer imports also rose to $2.1 billion in 2022, from $376 million in 2021, according to India’s Directorate General of Foreign Trade. In fact, Russian exports to India grew almost fivefold, to $32.8 billion in April-December 2022, from $6.6 billion the previous year. The problem lies in the fact that Russian imports far outweigh Indian exports to Russia.

    Beyond energy security, including nuclear energy sufficiency, food security has emerged as another area of enhanced cooperation, as Russian fertilisers, agricultural appliances and Indian demand for sunflower and soybean oil and legumes have added to India’s import bill.

    However, for Indians wishing to trade with Russia, the situation is more complicated and, analysts said, likely to remain at a government to government level for more time. India's trade deficit with Russia has rapidly burgeoned, as its exports lag far behind imports. Indian exports to Russia declined 14% to $2.2 billion in April to December 2022. This was primarily because of logistical problems, created by payment disruptions as, post-sanctions, Russia is now mostly cut off from international payment systems, making trade settlements longer and more convoluted.

    Analysts and officials say this trade imbalance would further delay efforts to switch contracts to local currencies, despite both governments being willing. To facilitate energy imports post-sanctions, the Reserve Bank of India set up, in July 2022, a new payment system to facilitate trade in Rupees. Media reports said, similarly, several Russian banks opened "Vostro" accounts with Indian banks.

    The continuing war in Ukraine, sanctions on Russia and geopolitical tensions remain major obstacles to enhanced Indian exports to Russia, along with the absence of enthusiasm in India’s private sector entities. The threat of secondary sanctions and penalties imposed on third country actors doing business with sanctioned organizations obviously discourages Indian private companies from actively pursuing trade with Russian entities.

    While India benefits from access to cheaper Russian commodities, analysts point out that there is a marked difference between government expressions of interest and Indian private entities doing business on the ground in Russia. Additionally, transport, safety and the time taken for Indian exports to reach Russia, with hostilities having erupted across the Middle East, further discourage private sector players from seriously investing in Russia. The International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC), which passes through Azerbaijan and Iran and would drastically cut transport time, thereby allowing enhanced volumes of freight, is still far from ready.

    Refusing to be discouraged and to take their trade to the next level, both countries are working on options to boost bilateral trade, including deciding to facilitate movement of freight by using a new water route, the Northern Sea Shipping route. This route is among the safest routes for goods transport and the shortest route connecting East Asia and Europe.

    India is now among the top 10 suppliers of pharmaceutical products to the Russian market. Restrictions on supplies of such products from the European Union and the U.S. have given Indian companies new opportunities. Russian imports of pharmaceutical products grew by 16% $16 billion in 2022, from $14 billion in 2021, according to Russian customs data.

    The Russian government and businesses require machinery, equipment and spare parts, including for the automobile and civil aviation sectors and IT and electronics products, to substitute for a lack of western imports. Opportunities to further diversify into a wider range of products have not been very successful yet. The Indian services sector and Indian lifestyle products and services, along with gems and jewellery, handlooms and clothing and footwear manufacture remain areas with potential, but whether the Russian market is ready to look away from the West towards India remains unclear. Despite the multiple geostrategic dangers since 2022, both countries have managed to maintain and even improve their trade relations, crossing a mark of $18 billion in just six months in 2022.

    Geopolitical and strategic considerations do impact Indian trade with Russia, which is seen as drawing closer to China after western sanctions. China remains the largest market for Russian oil and is a major market for Russian defence hardware, naturally increasing Indian concerns. While enhanced trade with and increased economic involvement in India would certainly help Russia remain not solely dependent on China, all the alignments for enhanced trade have not yet taken off to attain cosmic volumes.

    By Nilova Roy Chaudhury

  • Bonds and barriers: Why Russia and India ties need more “Atmanirbhar”

    Exchanges between Moscow and New Delhi have increased across various levels. Russian government agencies and trade chambers have sent delegations to India, and there is a surge in business missions. Russia expects larger Indian exports in various sectors, and India is interested in Russian businesses in infrastructure and energy.

    Over the past year, exchanges between Moscow and New Delhi have significantly increased across various levels – from G2G to B2B, corporate, cultural, education, and even spiritual. This has injected new life into the longstanding but somewhat stagnant ties that are crucial to both countries.

    In 2023, various agencies of the Russian government, trade chambers, and associates have been actively sending delegations to New Delhi, Mumbai, Bangalore, and other parts of India. They have also hosted numerous Indian delegations in Russia. Officials note an unprecedented surge in the number of business and regional missions exploring new opportunities. Russia is optimistic about larger Indian exports in sectors like engineering, machinery, automobiles, pharma, textiles, and food, while India is witnessing great interest from Russian businesses in infrastructure, energy sectors, IT, and financial markets.

    Russia-India trade turnover has crossed the $50 billion mark for the first time, compared to an average of $10-13 billion recorded in the past five years before the dynamics changed in 2022. Energy plays a key role in this surge, with India's primary crude source now overtaking Iraq and Saudi Arabia. Since April 2022, India's Russian oil imports have soared over 10-fold.

    However, both countries are looking to make bilateral trade more diversified and sustainable.

    Russia and India are time-tested partners, but new realities are testing the existing bond. The economic aspect of bilateral ties, even after a fivefold increase, is relatively small, considering India’s aspirations in defense, energy, and other sectors.

    Take the Arctic, for example. The region holds the world's largest remaining untapped gas reserves and some of its largest undeveloped oil reserves. India's increasing interest in the Arctic region reflects a strategic response aligned with its evolving geopolitical and economic priorities, and Russia, as India’s strategic partner, is ready to share insights for operating in the Arctic.

    The two countries possess enormous talent and domestically developed technologies but have often relied on the West to produce the end product. The “Atmanirbhar” drive, which is now evident in both countries at many levels, from policy-making to consumer behavior trends, could strengthen the “friendly bond,” of which we are so often reminded by high-profile dignitaries representing the two nations.

    The problem is that the new generation of Indian diplomats, bureaucrats, businessmen, and even journalists lack the same “soft spot” for “Russian story books” as previous generations. As the new “point of affection” was never created, there is nothing “sentimental” about Russia-India relations for those professionals who actually drive the strategic policy-making, be it at government or corporate level.

    That is the reason why awareness becomes the key factor shaping up Russia-India relations in the coming years. Seven decades of intense and open-hearted friendship have shaped the ties in such a way that "old memories" have dominated the "present realities," much like in a lasting marriage.

    To ensure a vibrant union at 75, there needs to be some spice – or, more radically, a “new blood.” This could involve exploring new trade segments, fostering larger interactions between new generations – from school kids to students to mid-age entrepreneurs. The latter, on both sides, are more likely to be influenced by stereotypes or distant knowledge acquired from their parents about the Indo-Soviet relationship. Sad, but true - the generation of entrepreneurs leading the most valuable companies in Russia and India have very limited understanding of these two countries – most often shaped by the Western media.

    For Russian business leaders, until very recently, India remained a land of tea, textiles and generic medicines, while Indian businesses often do not consider Russia to be an interesting market beyond weaponry, crude and fertilizers. In the past two years, an image of Russia as a “war-torn country” has been added to this picture, many in the Indian corporate sector told me privately. None of them have traveled to Russia lately.

    But those who have, were genuinely surprised.

    Moscow authorities noted in November last year that despite consistent tightening of sanctions from unfriendly countries, Moscow's economy, like that of the whole country, has adapted to “new realities” and returned to sustainable economic development. Positive dynamics in Moscow's budget revenues are noted in almost all sectors of the economy, including almost 19% growth in manufacturing, over 12% in transportation, almost 26% in construction, and over 20% in the IT sector. The vibrancy is palpable in Moscow cafes and malls. In 2023 alone, Moscow added 14 new underground metro stations and a new rapid train system line consisting of 74 stations.

    The vibe may not be felt across the entire country, given its size, complex climate, geographical intricacies, and the ongoing military conflict. However, the Far East regions are witnessing unprecedented development of infrastructure, allowing them to export more minerals to Asian markets. New hotels and resorts are emerging around Lake Baikal. After being “isolated” from (or rather by) the West, Russia is rediscovering its richness and untapped potential. India could be a part of that discovery, tapping markets previously dominated by Western companies – from commercial development to automotive, consumer retail, and consulting.

    Awareness about India’s growth among Russians has increased tremendously in the past two years, thanks to the media attention India is finally receiving in Russia. An average Russian news consumer now knows about India's strive to become the world’s third-largest economy, its space programs, startup ecosystem, and indigenously developed defense systems. Russians are slowly disassociating themselves from the past reality of the “Indian elephant on a tea box.”

    Notably, the only attention Russia receives in Indian media is related to the Ukraine conflict, with most reporting on Russia reproduced by Indian media from Western global news agencies. It is time that this aspect of bilateral relationship, too, witnesses the power of “Atmanirbhar.”

    By Ksenia Kondratieva, Editor, RT India

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EducationView All

  • India- Russia relations: The importance of a Resilient Friendship

    Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s telephone conversation with President Vladimir Putin, on 15 January 2024 sent the important signal that communication between the two leaders is as robust as ever, setting the tone for pursuing the key priorities in our strategic partnership and the bilateral summit that is planned for this year.

    The year 2023 ended with the successful five-day visit of External Affairs Minister Dr S. Jaishankar to Moscow and St Petersburg, the highlight of which was the call by EAM on President Putin. A message from Prime Minister Modi was handed over to the Russian President. Against the background of a crisis-ridden international situation, with the Russia-Ukraine conflict in its second year and raging conflicts in the Middle East, it was important for both sides to exchange notes and to coordinate positions. Russia was appreciative that under India’s Presidency the G20 summit adopted a statement that took into Russian sensitivities. The document included PM Modi’s reference made earlier at the Samarkand meeting with President Putin, that this was not an era of war.

    Bilateral trade has increased to record levels. Though estimates put it above 50 billion USD, considering trade through third countries it is reported the figure may be higher than 60 billion USD. This is mostly due of the rise in Indian imports of Russian crude, making Russia the top energy supplier to India. While the trend is upward, it is may also be temporary as it is dependent on discounted prices driven by Russia’s current geopolitical circumstances. Both sides can give a more permanent shape to these energy links in the spirit of long-term partnerships- but projects of such scale will require a commitment to insulate such projects from the uncertainties of geopolitics. It will also be test of whether India and Russia can withstand international pressures when bilateral cooperation projects of such critical importance are involved.

    This also applies to the inventory management of Russian origin defence spares and supplies with our armed forces. For Russia it is a test of its commitment to engage in Make-in-India defence projects for the Indian market and for third country exports. Both countries need to look at nuclear cooperation beyond the Kudankulam NPPs by establishing joint ventures in small modular nuclear reactor (SMR) technology – Russia currently is only country which has an operational SMR. Russia has partnered with India in training astronauts for our Gaganyan programme.

    Western sanctions on Russia created huge challenges but the expected collapse of its economy did not materialize. This created opportunities for countries capable and interested in occupying the market space in Russia vacated by western firms. Companies from China, Turkey, Central Asia, and the Gulf have moved in. Indian companies have tended to be cautious even in areas of economic activities outside the scope of western sanctions. This is partly due to lack of information but also due to persistent hurdles, despite remedial efforts by the Indian and Russian Governments, of inadequate bilateral banking channels. Physical connectivity is also problematic – no Indian carrier flies now to Moscow and trade and transit routes remain expensive and time-consuming.

    Recent disruptions in maritime shipping through the Red Sea have once again underlined the importance of pushing the INSTC through Iran and Chennai Vladivostok EMC to their full potential. Russia is now a major long-term supplier of fertilizers and coking coal. Indian manpower exports can contribute to the Russian economy which now faces a critical demographic shortage. Russia can benefit from investing in India which is now poised to be for the next decade amongst the fastest growing economies globally. For Russia, there is no other country like India which is both friendly and which offers a secure and profitable investment destination.

    This is clearly an era of prolonged global instability. Hence the standard of ‘reasonable risk’ of doing international business and trade cannot be the same as that during the golden age of globalization. This is a test case for Indian companies as it is for their Russian partners. Implicit in multipolarity is the message that doing business like in a unipolar world is a self-imposed limitation that is not sustainable in the long term.

    To benefit from the strong legacy of friendly relations with Russia, there is need to think anew and act anew. Old mind sets and current hesitations will not work. Future resilience in our relations can be assured through forward-looking projects of mutual benefit. India and Russia have unique strengths- strong strategic convergences and a time-tested friendship backed by a strong public sentiment. But every era poses its own set of challenges which cannot be addressed through past sentiment alone. There is a need for new ideas and new drivers, taken forward not just by governments but the broader business community, technology experts and entrepreneurs - not cowed down by geopolitical change but instead having the appetite and the mind set to shape and profit from it.

    DB Venkatesh Varma, (former Ambassador of India to the Russian Federation 2018-21)

  • India and Russia thriving in the AI era: Where to cooperate?

    India and Russia, key players in AI and technology, collaborate on IoT, e-commerce, and information security. The countries prioritize IoT in energy, transport, and manufacturing, embrace AI in e-commerce, and focus on information security for digital sovereignty.

    In an era defined by rapid technological advancement, artificial intelligence emerges as the cornerstone of modern innovation. From generative AI to smart assistants and machine learning, its pervasive influence shapes the very fabric of our contemporary world. Against this backdrop, India and Russia, both at the forefront of embracing cutting-edge technologies, emerge as formidable players in the global market for technological solutions. Their proactive approach to implementation positions them as key drivers of progress in science and technology, particularly in the realm of AI and its associated fields. This fertile ground sets the stage for robust partnerships, poised to propel both nations towards unprecedented heights in S&T development.

    What spheres of implementing AI technologies in both India and Russia can the expert community assess more precisely to enhance the cooperation between the two countries? The author decided to ask this question to AI itself and used a semantic analysis method based on the iFORA big data analytics system developed by leading Russian HSE University (copyright – HSE ISSEK). The analysis was based on data from Russian and Indian media sources for the last 5 years, a total of more than 300 thousand text documents were analysed. So, what AI-related spheres do the countries highlight most in their media?

    The answer to the question is provided in the form of a graph where frequency (an indicator showing how many times a term was mentioned in the analysed text documents within a defined time period) of AI-related spheres is presented.

    The vertical axis shows the popularity of technological fields in India (based on their frequency in the Indian English-language media), and the horizontal axis - the popularity of technological fields in Russia (frequency in the Russian-language media). Circle icons represent different technologies; ones that are placed closer to the upper part of the diagonal line are frequently mentioned both in Indian and Russian agendas. The size of circle icons represents the aggregated frequency of these technologies in both Russian and Indian media (the more a term was mentioned in both agendas, the bigger a circle icon is).

  • Empowering Minds, Inspiring Futures: HSE University

    For years, Russia has been a popular choice for Indian students seeking quality education. Renowned for its exceptional universities in fields like medicine, engineering, and science, Russia offers a blend of academic excellence and cultural immersion. In this article, we'll take a closer look at HSE universities and uncover the experiences of Indian students studying there.

    HSE University is a leader in Russian education and one of the preeminent economics and social sciences universities in Eastern Europe and Eurasia. Having rapidly grown into a well-renowned research university over two decades, HSE University sets itself apart with its international presence and cooperation.

    Now a dynamic university with four campuses in Moscow, Saint Petersburg, Nizhny Novgorod, and Perm, HSE University is a leader in combining Russian education traditions with the best international teaching and research practices. HSE University offers outstanding educational programmes from secondary school to doctoral studies, with top departments and research centres in a number of fields. They are ranked among the top 100 institutions worldwide in politics & international studies, sociology, history, economics and econometrics in the QS – World University Rankings by Subject.

    Since 2013, HSE University has been a member of the 5-100 Russian Academic Excellence Project, a highly selective government programme aimed at boosting the international competitiveness of Russian universities.

    HSE cooperates with over 400 universities worldwide through bilateral and multilateral projects, the European Commission and other schemes, as well as international associations and network memberships. Today there are about 5000 foreign students from all over the world including India are studying at HSE University.

    There are several scholarships accessible for both international and local students at HSE. For Master’s Programs, there are seven scholarships tailored for international students, covering tuition fees from 25% to 70%. These scholarships, based on merit, are open to prospective students enrolling in any of HSE’s campuses, offering diverse opportunities for financial support.

    Additionally, students can gain entry to HSE through a Rossotrudnichestvo grant or by participating in HSE Olympiads, such as the International Youth Olympiad and Higher Probation Olympiad. The 25% scholarship/grant is also an option for graduates of the preparatory department for foreign citizens of HSE, as well as graduates of preparatory departments from other Russian universities and graduates from other universities who have completed at least one semester at HSE as part of their Bachelor's or Master's program. Furthermore, a 10% scholarship/grant awaits graduates of the Summer University program.

    Several programs at HSE University are accredited by EFMD Accredited (EQUIS), the European Foundation for Management Development. HSE’s educational programs are also state accredited by the Russian Federal Education and Science Supervision Agency.

    These accreditations ensure that HSEs undergo rigorous examination and ensure the quality of education is of a high standard as well as consistently updating the education to adapt to the ever-changing, robust world we live in today.

    HSE University offers 45 English-taught master’s programs. The Master of Data Science program, along with four other master’s programs, is delivered online in partnership with Coursera. Several of the programs offer double degree tracks, implemented with leading global universities.

    The fields of study at HSE University range from Applied Mathematics to Advertising to Psychology. The institution’s programs cover essential areas of interest within contemporary society and the global workforce. Short-term study opportunities include Russian language courses, an International Preparatory Year, and a semester in Moscow, Nizhny Novgorod, or St Petersburg.

    Find out what Indians studying/teaching in this university have to say about it.

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    India-Russia Economic Ties

    In the financial year 2022-23, on account of a rise in discounted oil exports to India, Russia’s bilateral trade with its strategic partner exceeded $40 billion for the first time. In the previous years, the figure struggled to surpass the $10-11 billion mark, which meant that the share of India and Russia in each other’s foreign trade remained at 1-2%. The surge in oil imports has made Moscow the leading supplier of crude oil to India, capturing about 35% of the market share in 2023. Apart from crude oil, other key imports from Russia include fertilisers, natural or cultured pearls, animal or vegetable fats and oils, iron and steel, etc. The exports from India mainly consist of pharmaceutical products, electrical machinery and equipment, organic and inorganic chemicals, and iron and steel.

    Opportunities
    The energy sector is billed as a promising area of cooperation, considering the projected increase in Indian demand for oil and gas due to its growth trajectory. Estimates indicate that by 2030, India will become the world’s third-largest energy consumer, heavily reliant on imports. The demand for LNG is also expected to surge supporting green growth, with imports projected to reach 124 bcm per day by 2040. Russia, aspiring to maintain a diversified portfolio of energy suppliers, can play a significant role in India’s energy market. Ongoing cooperation in nuclear energy via the Kudankulam Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) is anticipated to persist, with the plant expected to reach full capacity by 2027.

    There is also an opportunity to further cooperation in existing areas of trade like pharmaceuticals, consumer goods, organic chemicals, etc. Russia has expressed eagerness to participate in the ‘Make in India’ programme to boost bilateral trade. Officials have also spoken about focusing on Indian exports to sectors not directly subject to sanctions, which include auto and spare parts, electronic goods and components, medical devices, high-efficiency solar PV modules, textile apparel, white boots, leather, and ceramics. There is also the possibility of expanding Russian exports in areas like metals, coking coal, metallurgical and mining equipment, water treatment and waste incineration equipment, timber and newspaper paper, food and agricultural products, etc. Both sides have also identified areas of cooperation in the Russian Far East, encompassing diamond processing, petroleum and natural gas, coal and mining, agro-processing, and tourism.

    With the goal of increasing bilateral investment to $50 billion by 2025, Russia is considering investment in profitable infrastructure projects (such as industrial corridors, roads, telecommunications, energy). Suggestions for India include building a presence in the industrial and technological sectors in Russia. Historically, Russia has mostly invested in India’s oil and gas, railways, petrochemicals, and steel, while India focuses on the hydrocarbon and pharmaceutical industry in Russia.

    Challenges
    To harness these opportunities, India and Russia must address several issues that have long hindered bilateral trade. The substantial increase in oil imports, while contributing to the overall trade volume, has resulted in a growing trade deficit as Indian exports have not risen proportionately. The Vostro account, established for settlement of trade in national currencies, has seen Russia accumulate Indian currency worth over $40 billion. The aim of boosting exports is further complicated owing to Western sanctions, causing Indian businesses to be wary of the prevailing situation. The uncertainty stemming from these factors, coupled with the outflow of foreign capital from Russia, affects the willingness of businesses to enter the market.

    While these issues have emerged after 2022, other factors have persisted over the years in the Indo-Russian economic relationship. The small-scale presence of the Indian private sector in the Russian market, the concentration of trade in a narrow range of products, tariff, and non-tariff barriers, connectivity as well as the declining share of Indian exports in the Russian market in some of the key sectors, including pharmaceuticals and organic chemicals.

    The operationalisation of the International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC) linking India to Russia via Central Asia and West Asia while cutting down cost and transit time has in the past faced challenges due to incomplete infrastructure, high freight rates, uneven infrastructure, and low trade volume. While some shipments have been moving via this route since 2022, the volumes at the moment remain insufficient and the project needs focused intervention by the concerned parties. Another connectivity route proposed is the Chennai Vladivostok Maritime Corridor, which was announced in 2019. It is expected that Russian exports will consist of natural resources from the Far East like oil, LNG, coking coal as well as fertilisers. Information about the sustainability of this route, the nature of Indian exports via the corridor, and the inclusion of other Asian players on this route remains unclear at present. Both sides have expressed optimism about the future of these connectivity links and are engaged in high-level discussions to operationalise them for improved trade.

    Addressing the above-mentioned issues and simultaneouslyexpanding trade into newer areas such as high-tech products, joint industrial ventures, health, transport, etc. can give an impetus to India-Russia trade ties. In addition, fast-tracking customs clearance and implementing the bilateral investment treaty after completing the negotiations are expected to help improve economic relations. It is crucial to increase knowledge and enhance awareness about each other’s markets and trade opportunities while incentivising businesses on both sides to improve their presence. In this regard, industrial bodies as well as business/CEO councils on both sides will have to work efficiently in raising awareness and seeking solutions to the challenges described above to facilitate a balanced, high-volume, sustainable bilateral trade engagement between India and Russia.

    Dr. Nivedita Kapoor, Research Fellow, International Laboratory on World Order Studies and the New Regionalism, Faculty of World Economy and International Affairs, National Research University Higher School of Economics, Moscow

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    Heartfelt Congratulations on the Launch of the New Economic Supplement Showcasing Russia's Economic Landscape

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    Navigating the Russian Pharma Market: Opportunities, Challenges, and Success Stories

    In the dynamic realm of global pharmaceuticals, Russia emerges as a land of promise for Indian businesses seeking new avenues for growth. Over the past two years, the Russian pharmaceutical market has undergone significant transformations, creating a favourable environment for foreign enterprises. With the exit of European and American pharmaceutical giants amidst the COVID-19 pandemic and sanctions, Indian companies find themselves at the cusp of unprecedented opportunities in Russia.

    According to insights from the DSM Group, the Russian pharmaceutical market demonstrated resilience and growth in 2023, surpassing RUB 2.6 trillion in monetary volume. Despite the challenges posed by the pandemic, commercial pharmacies witnessed a notable uptick in sales, while the share of Russian medicines in the market continued to rise steadily. This trend underscores the increasing significance of domestically produced drugs in meeting the healthcare needs of the Russian population.

    Against this backdrop, individuals like Divesh Kumar stand out as beacons of guidance for Indian businesses venturing into the Russian market. With a wealth of experience spanning over 18 years and accolades from prestigious institutions like Harvard, Kumar serves as a bridge between Russia and India, navigating the complexities of regulations and cultural nuances with finesse.

    From Bihar to Moscow, his journey has been characterised by dedication and innovation. this has culminated in his pivotal role as the honorary representative of Pharmexcil in Russia. His decision to relocate to Moscow and subsequently establish Anicare Bio Science and SafePharm in Murmansk underscores his commitment to facilitating Indian pharmaceutical ventures in Russia. These companies specialise in providing crucial services such as marketing support, and regulatory compliance, and now, with SafePharm, expanding into local production with strategic partnerships.

    Kumar's entrepreneurial venture in Murmansk, particularly in partnership with Far East Development Corporation and VEB.ru bank, highlights his strategic approach to leverage local grants, tenders, and favourable financing conditions. His journey underscores the power of expertise, innovation, and adaptability in achieving success in international markets, especially in the pharmaceutical sector.

    However, amidst the allure of untapped potential, an array of challenges looms large, threatening to impede the progress of aspiring entrants. Chief among these challenges is the regulatory landscape enforced by the Russian government. From stringent certification requirements to complex product registration processes, navigating the bureaucratic maze is daunting and prohibitively expensive for newcomers.

    The indispensable GMP (Good Manufacturing Practice) certificate stands at the forefront of regulatory hurdles, a prerequisite for establishing pharmaceutical production facilities in Russia. This certification, while essential for ensuring product quality and compliance, commands a hefty price tag, posing a significant barrier to entry for fledgling enterprises.

    Compounding the regulatory complexity is the mandate for all procedures and certifications to be conducted within Russian borders. This necessitates substantial investment in local infrastructure and resources, further amplifying the financial burden on prospective entrants.

    Language barriers further complicate the process, as the Russian business landscape predominantly operates in the native language. For Indian companies unfamiliar with the intricacies of the Russian tongue, communication hurdles can prove insurmountable, hindering effective engagement with regulatory authorities and local stakeholders.

    Despite these challenges, success stories abound, with Dr Reddy's emerging as a shining example of Indian prowess in the Russian pharmaceutical landscape. Their journey underscores the resilience and adaptability required to thrive in a market characterised by regulatory intricacies and cultural diversity.

    As Russian pharmaceutical production assumes a position of priority within the national agenda, Indian businesses stand poised to contribute to the country's healthcare ecosystem. With strategic partnerships, a commitment to excellence, and a willingness to navigate challenges with ingenuity, they can not only seize the opportunities presented by the Russian market but also contribute to the advancement of healthcare on a global scale.

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